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WHO’S COMING · JOHANNESBURG

10.48 Million: South Africa’s Record Year Lands at O.R. Tambo

South Africa welcomed 10.48 million international visitors in 2025 — up 17.6%, the first year above pre-pandemic levels — and Johannesburg is where the business half of that wave arrives. Britain is now the top overseas market; Russia grew fastest.

October 2026 · TIO Metropolises Desk
10.48M
international arrivals to South Africa in 2025, +17.6% year on year — 2.6% above 2019, the highest on record (StatsSA / SA Tourism)
2.39M
overseas (non-African) arrivals, +11.9% — still only 92% of the 2019 benchmark; the long-haul recovery is the remaining gap (TBCSA)
+15.4%
growth from the UK, which overtook the US as the #1 overseas source market; Europe overall rose 12.6%, Germany +14% (SA Tourism)
+34.4%
growth in Russian arrivals in December 2025 — the fastest of any overseas market, against a US/Canada slowdown amid travel advisories (StatsSA)

The gateway’s share

Two of three long-haul visitors to South Africa touch O.R. Tambo first — the airport banks the business travel, the safari connections to Hoedspruit and Skukuza, and the SADC region’s visiting-everything traffic. December 2025 alone saw 738,362 SADC travellers through the country’s ports, with Mozambique, Lesotho, Eswatini and Botswana topping the ledger.

The calendar did its part: November’s G20 Summit — the first in Africa — filled Sandton and seeded the events pipeline, and the Electronic Travel Authorization, piloted during the summit, now rolls out to India, China, Mexico and Indonesia. Q1 2026 kept the pace: 2.91 million arrivals, up ~12.5% every month.

Advisories vs. arithmetic

The honest complication: the US and Canada moderated in 2025 under updated travel advisories — Level 2 from Washington in May, a sharper Canadian warning in December — even as Europe surged. South Africa’s arrival record was built on regional Africa and Europe while North America hesitated.

For Johannesburg specifically, the mix matters less than the purpose: this is the business-events city of the continent — 51 MICE bids worth R894.5 million this financial year — plus the transit point for safari-bound premium leisure. The visitor who lands here spends differently: hotels, conferences, and one train ride to Sandton.

THE TIO READ
The reviewer’s call

The TIO read: the national record is real and the composition is shifting east and regional — UK first, Russia fastest, SADC always. Johannesburg monetizes the purposeful end of that flow. The watch item is the North American advisory cycle; everything else is compounding.

Sources

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