01 — The outbound ledger
BPS counts resident departures monthly; the ministry frames the balance. The implied annual outbound volume is our subtraction — flagged:
| Measure | Value | Scope · source |
|---|---|---|
| Resident departures, September | 695.9k +5.3% | BPS — top destinations Malaysia and Saudi Arabia |
| Trip balance | +5.64M surplus | Ministry of Tourism — inbound exceeds outbound; implied outbound ≈9.7M* (our derivation) |
| Domestic tourism | 1.09bn trips +19.0% | Ministry / BPS, 2025 — the archipelago’s real volume |
02 — The inbound mirror
The ministry’s year-end projection, against its own target, with the money counted to September:
| Measure | Value | Scope · source |
|---|---|---|
| International arrivals | ≈15.3M projected | Ministry of Tourism / BPS — Nov YTD 13.98M (+10.44%) against a 15M target |
| Revenue, Q1–Q3 | $13.82bn +9.4% | Ministry of Tourism; average spend $1,259 vs a $1,220 target |
| Top source | Malaysia 17% | BPS, 2025 |
| September 2025 | 1.39M arrivals +9.0% | BPS monthly |
03 — Gateways and ports
Two gateways carry most of the international flow.
Jakarta Soekarno-Hatta (CGK) and Bali Ngurah Rai (DPS) carry most international traffic. We have not yet verified FY2025 operator totals — the line stays empty rather than borrowed.
04 — TIO coverage of Indonesia
Everything the office publishes on the country, one click away:
Sources. Ministry of Tourism and BPS Statistics Indonesia, via ANTARA (21 Jan 2026) and monthly releases. The FY2025 arrival figure is the ministry’s projection against its own target; the implied outbound volume (≈9.7M*) is our subtraction from the published trip surplus, flagged with *.